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3 Buy Low Dynasty Superflex QBs

By Eli the Fantasy GuyJune 1, 2024
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Bryce Young, Carolina Panthers

Before Bryce Young took his first professional snap for the Carolina Panthers in a regular season game, his KTC value was at it's peak, hovering around QB10. But as soon as his in season struggles were made apparent, his value immediately dropped over 1,100 points down to QB20. And has stayed down. That's too low.

We're talking about the 1st overall pick in last year's draft, who was stuck in an unimaginative offense with an uninspiring coaching staff for his rookie season. The Panthers fired that previous staff and brought in Dave Canales as Head Coach, the closest thing we have over the last few seasons to a quarterback whisperer. As QB coach in 2022 with the Seattle Seahawks he turned Geno Smith into Cinderella, who finished the season as QB5 with over 4,000 yards passing and 30 TDs.

And once Canales was gone from Seattle in 2023, we saw Geno turn back into a pumpkin as Canales took the reigns as Offensive Coordinator in Tampa Bay. Expectations were very low for the Baker Mayfield led offense following Tom Brady's departure, but under Canales, Baker also finished with over 4,000 yards passing to the tune of a QB10 finish with 28 TDs.

I'm willing to bet on Canales having a similar and profound effect on Bryce Young's production for the 2024 season. Not to mention all the new offensive weapons they've surrounded him with…Dionte Johnson, Xavier Legette, Jonathan Brooks and JT Sanders to go along with their top target from last season, Adam Thielen. All it will take is a few good games for Young to see his value increase right back up to where it was last summer. With any success at all this season, Young should vault himself back into the top 15 of dynasty QB ratings.

Based on Sleeper data of Superflex startup drafts, Young isn't going off the board until round 7. Because of his current depressed value, you could trade for him straight up for James Cook, Isiah Pacheco, Xavier Worthy or an injured TJ Hockenson.

I'll happily deal away any of those names or a late 2024 1st to have Bryce Young as my QB2 or QB3. Position scarcity in Superflex leagues plus a longer window to retain his value makes him the better investment.

Baker Mayfield, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

It doesn't look like the dynasty community is convinced after Baker's resurgent performance in 2023. Despite finishing as the QB10 last season, he's currently ranked as QB23 on KTC.

Unlike Bryce Young, his value has actually risen since last offseason (QB35 last August), but not nearly enough commensurate to his age, situation and recent production. He only just turned 29. The Bucs returned their offense intact, extending Mike Evans for another 2 years while keeping Chris Godwin, Trey Palmer, Cade Otton and Rachaad White. They added Jalen McMillan and Bucky Irving in the draft.

As I mentioned previously when talking about Bruce Young, the Bucs did lose Dave Canales, their offensive coordinator from last year, bringing in Liam Coen. This may be a cause of concern for some, but I think there will still be enough familiarity and continuity to allow Baker to pick up where he left off. Coen actually runs the same offensive system and comes from the same Sean McVay coaching tree as Canales, both of whom previously working under Shane Waldron while with the Rams and Seahawks respectively.

You can currently draft Baker at the end of round 7 in Sleeper Superflex startup drafts. And at his current KTC value, you could move off of aging veterans like Davante Adams, Cooper Kupp or Travis Kelce straight up for Baker. Or trade a future 2026 1st. I like all these potential moves to acquire Baker as my 2nd or 3rd QB in Superflex leagues.

In the short term, I prefer the investment in Baker over those aforementioned stars nearing the end of their playing careers, considering Baker just signed a new 3 year deal. And he could easily play himself into another extension if he produces similarly as last year going forward. Even if he doesn't produce top 10 numbers again this year, as long as he finishes a high end QB2, his value should easily soar past where he was mid season last year, and perhaps higher than it ever was while he was in Cleveland. 

Will Levis, Tennessee Titans

When Will Levis got his chance to start in week 9 last season, he couldn't have dreamed up a better performance. Fantasy owners jumped for joy. He put up an eye-popping 34 point fantasy game throwing for 4 TDs. Unfortunately, the rest of the season wasn't as explosive. It was a mixed bag of single digit fantasy performances along with a few games in the high teens, then ending the year with an injury. But you could see the promise and potential. He averaged just over 15 fantasy points per game in the games he started and finished (he left the week 17 game after only 6 pass attempts).

After that dramatic first start, Will Levis's dynasty Superflex trade value was at it's peak, jumping up to QB15. But since, it has plummeted back down to its lowest point since the beginning of the 2023 season, down to QB21 on KTC. And his current ADP on Sleeper Superflex startup drafts has him going as the final pick of the 8th round as QB25.

I find these values to be crazy low. Levis was the 2nd pick of the 2nd Rd in last year's draft, who is likely to not only improve upon his rookie season, but be given every opportunity to retain the starting job for at least a few more years. So it's hard for me to believe his value won't increase. Then factor in what Tennessee has done this off-season to set the stage for his fantasy success. They gave Calvin Ridley a big bag of money to join DeAndre Hopkins as Levis's top receivers on the outside. They brought in Tyler Boyd to start in the slot. Why is that significant? Well, he knows the system new head coach Brian Callahan wants to implement from his days in Cincinnati.

Both Callahan, and new offensive coordinator Nick Holz (previously the Jacksonville Jaguars passing game coordinator) ran spread offenses with mostly 3 WR sets, and both systems helped support 4,000 yard passers and multiple fantasy pass catchers in recent seasons. Don't forget, there's also Chigoziem Okonkwo at the TE spot and both Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears out of the backfield who are all excellent pass catching options. They also upgraded their offensive line via the draft and free agency to give Levis more time in pocket and improve his completion percentage from last year. Levis is set up nicely to be a solid QB2 in Superflex leagues, so now's the time to buy low.

In one of my Superflex dynasty leagues where I have an excess of middling RBs, I'm making offers to a RB needy manager either straight up or pairing them with a 3rd Rd rookie pick to make a trade happen. Referencing the KTC trade analyzer, a fair offer for Levis is Zamir White & a late 3rd or Zack Moss & an early 3rd.

If you have top end depth at WR, you can offer a Terry McClauren or an inconsistent and oft injured Christian Watson straight up. If you have an early 2nd Rd pick and are thinking about drafting a Keon Coleman, Bo Nix or Michael Penix, you can trade that pick straight up for Levis, or try a future 2025 2nd or 2026 1st.

Even if Levis never becomes a top 12 QB option, he's gonna be a solid QB2 with huge upside (he never even utilized any of his running ability in his starts last season) and his value should rise after a strong preseason and/or early season performance. He should retain that value longer than any of these middling RBs I would offer in trade, who tend to get hurt more often and are easily replaceable in both real football and fantasy. Making Levis a better dynasty investment. Buy now, and whether you ride with him for a few seasons or you flip him mid season when his value spikes again, the time is now to trade for Will Levis!