We’re yet another week closer to football being played which has made me want to revulate my dynasty rankings once again. Now that we’re past rookie fever, the dynasty market has begun to start building their perfect week one starting lineup. With that being the case, these older players are now being valued more because of their production value.
Today, we’re going to dive into my top 24 quarterback rankings and tiers for the FTR website. After that, I’m going to compare and break down the rankings that differ from FantasyPros ECR. To create my rankings, I use advanced premium stats from Fantasy Data, PFF, TeamRankings, sports books, film from All-22, and many other sources.
Tier 1
1. Josh Allen
2. Patrick Mahomes
Tier 2
3. C.J. Stroud
4. Lamar Jackson
5. Jalen Hurts
6. Joe Burrow
7. Caleb Williams
Tier 3
8. Anthony Richardson
9. Kyler Murray
10. Justin Herbert
11. Jordan Love
Tier 4
12. Jayden Daniels
13. Trevor Lawrence
Tier 5
14. Brock Purdy
15. Dak Prescott
16. Drake Maye
17. Tua Tagovailoa
18. Jared Goff
Tier 6
19. J.J. McCarthy
20. Bryce Young
21. Will Levis
22. Bo Nix
Tier 7
23. Baker Mayfield
24. Kirk Cousins
FTR Rankings Versus ECR
Drake Maye (+3)
FTR Rank: 16
ECR Rank: 19
After the NFL Draft, Drake Maye has been slipping down rookie drafts and dynasty rankings for no good reason. While I like Jayden Daniels as a prospect, I believe he’s just slightly better due to his situation and rushing upside. That being said, In the long term, Maye has the tools to develop into a great passer, and he’s a good runner as well. During his last two seasons at UNC, Maye had 1,147 rushing yards (including sacks) and a rushing EPA of 31.3, which was 4th in the nation.
Now, the main issue is the Patriots landing spot, but at the end of the day, a talented quarterback will transcend the situation to some extent. While the Patriots don’t have great weapons, bringing in Ja’Lynn Polk and Javon Baker are significant upgrades to the team. The Patriots regime isn’t going to be the same fantasy dead zone as before, considering Bill Belichick is out as the head coach. I still think the team needs to bring in a true WR1, but the foundation is there for Maye to succeed.
J.J. McCarthy (-2)
FTR Rank: 19
ECR Rank: 17
Although I was a pretty big J.J. McCarthy hater in the pre-draft process, I have to respect his draft capital and situation. That, along with his market value, has caused me to rank him at QB19, but I’m still slightly behind consensus. With McCarthy, he steps into one of the best situations in the NFL, but he’s never actually proven that he’ll be able to throw the ball at a high clip. During his time at Michigan, McCarthy leaned heavily on his run game, something that won’t be super effective with a 29-year-old Aaron Jones.
Now obviously McCarthy never had the best passing stats as he threw for under 3,000 yards every single season. On the flip side his rushing upside was above average as he ran for 306 and 202 yards in his final two seasons. Stats aren’t everything but after watching his film, he does show good anticipation and arm talent at times, it doesn’t pop up very often. From a talent perpstice, I had McCarthy as a mid second to early third round pick.
I see the best possible outcome for McCarthy is he becomes a really good game manager. He reminds me of Geno Smith in his current form and that’s not a dynasty asset I would pay up QB17 prices for. Fantasy football is a statistical game and if McCarthy doesn’t become a bust with how unproven he is, I highly doubt he’ll fill up the stat sheet.
Will Levis (+2)
FTR Rank: 21
ECR Rank: 23
Will Levis is a quarterback with a ton of upside, and once we get in the 20s, I’m willing to take a shot on him. Now, in the nine games Levis started in, he was really bad, averaging 11.3 PPG. His career did start on a high note when he scored 26.6 points and showed off his insane arm power on his deep balls. That being said, Levis has early second-round draft capital (33), and the Titans decided to give him a full year in 2024 to prove himself.
Looking at the moves the Titans made this off-season, it’s clear that they believe in Levis and want to give him the keys to succeed. The first major change was the firing of Mike Vrabel who had a very ground and pound approach. Derrick Henry also left for the Ravens in free agency which caused the Titans to bring in a much better pass catcher in Tony Pollard. Finally the receiving corps got a big overhaul as the team brought in Tyler Boyd and Calvin Ridley.
On top of all this at Kentucky Levis showed some rushing upside which just adds to his upside case. Although Levis got sacked a ton and finished his last year with negative yards, as a junior he had 376 yards and nine touchdowns. This is something he didn’t display at all last year and based on his failures, I would be willing to bet it becomes a bigger part of his game in 2024.
22. Bo Nix (+3)
FTR Rank: 22
ECR Rank: 25
I feel like I’m going crazy with how undervalued Bo Nix has become in the dynasty community. I shouldn’t have to give much more of an argument than saying he was the 12th overall pick in the NFL Draft. Not only does this give him a ton of job security but it increases his hit rate dramatically. Nix has been the Broncos guy throughout the draft process and that’s because quarterback Sean Payton loves him.
We saw how Payton developed Drew Brees into an all time great by putting a system around him where he can get the ball out fast and make the right decision. Nix doesn’t have nearly as much talent as Brees, but he takes care of the ball and distributes it effectively, which is what Payton wants. Now I see Nix as more of a game manager which should limit his fantasy ceiling, but I also believe he’s very NFL ready and won’t be a bust. If you have Nix on your team, expect a bunch of mid QB2 seasons for years to come.
