Hello everyone! It’s time for another edition of my 2025 fantasy baseball season analysis. Today, we’re taking a look at my 2025 outfield rankings. Outfield has some of the best players in baseball and plenty of reliable fantasy producers.
With 30 of the top 100 players in ADP being outfielders, there are plenty of options. So, let’s dive in! I use Fantasy Pros to analyze the average draft position(ADP). I also use Baseball Reference and Fangraphs for my research.
Every other position so far
Top 10 2025 Outfielders
Honorable Mention
Ronald Acuna Jr.
(Atlanta Braves)
2024 Stats:
.250/.351/.365 4 HR, 15 RBI (49 games)
Ronald Acuna Jr.'s 2024 was a forgettable one. He struggled a lot over the first two months of the season. He only hit four home runs, eight doubles, and doubled his strikeout percentage.
At the end of May, Acuna tore his ACL and would miss the rest of the season. He will also likely miss the first month or two of the 2025 season.
So why include him? The answer is simple: his MVP-winning 2023 shows his ceiling, which is the best player in fantasy baseball. Acuna led the league in hits(217), runs(149), stolen bases(74), OBP(.416), OPS(1.012), as well as OPS+(171).
The underlying numbers show that Acuna was one of the best hitters in the league. He was in the 100th percentile for xBA, xwOBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, and batting run value. Acuna is a risky pick for 2025. But at the end of it all, he's still an elite talent who can win you your championship.
10. Jackson Chourio
(Milwaukee Brewers)
2024 Stats:
.275/.327/.464 21 HR, 79 RBI, 22 SB
Jackson Chourio surprised many last year. Before the season started, Chourio had signed an eight-year extension worth $82 million. Then he made the opening-day roster despite only being 20 years old.
It took some time to get used to hitting at the major league level, as Chourio put up some weak months early (.558 OPS in April, .542 OPS in May). He struck out 31 times in April and only batted in three runners in May.
Like plenty of other rookies before him, Chourio finally broke out in June, posting a .897 OPS, doubling his season total for doubles and runs batted in. Chourio didn't let his foot off the gas. In the second half of the season, he posted an OPS of .914, and his ISO went from a pretty average .141 to a phenomenal .242.
While his walk rate went down slightly, his strikeout rate improved by 4.6%. If everything goes right, Chourio should improve even more in 2025, potentially having a 30/30 season.
9. Fernando Tatis Jr
(San Diego Padres)
2024 Stats:
.276/.340/.492 21 HR, 49 RBI
Fernando Tatis Jr. hasn’t been the same since he missed the 2022 season due to suspension and injuries. But he's been making progress. In 2023, he stole 29 bases but only hit 25 home runs and slugged .449. In 2024, he hit 21 home runs and slugged .492, but he stole only 11 bases(he also played only 102 games).
Tatis is expected to return to his former self in 2025. His potential is what keeps him high on draft boards. Few players can hit 35-40 home runs and steal 20 or more bases. In many ways, this year can be seen as a make-or-break year regarding his fantasy relevance.
8. Jackson Merrill
(San Diego Padres)
2024 Stats:
.292/.326/.500 24 HR, 90 RBI
Jackson Merrill had an awe-inspiring rookie season. Similarly to Chourio, Merrill started the year slow. He was making contact, posting a .285 average in April and May, but he wasn't slugging, putting up a sub .370 SLG every month.
Then, June came. Merrill hit a whopping .320/.346/.650 with seven doubles, nine home runs, and 20 runs batted in. His second half was even more impressive, with a .314/.349/.596 slash line with a .283 ISO.
Merrill and Chourio are very close, with some preferring Chourio due to his younger age and potentially higher ceiling. Merrill has demonstrated his superiority at the major league level. He boasts more hits, home runs, and runs batted in, alongside a higher batting average and slugging percentage. His performance speaks for itself.
7. Corbin Carroll
(Arizona Diamondbacks)
2024 Stats:
.231/.322/.428 22 HR, 74 RBI, 14 3B, 35 SB
Corbin Carroll has been an electrifying player since he broke out in 2023. He hit 30 doubles, 10 triples, 25 homers, and stole 54 bases. Fans were excited to see Carroll take the next step and become a top-tier outfielder.
Unfortunately, he took a step back last year. His first half was abysmal, posting a slash line of .212/.301/.334 with an ISO of .122. Carroll saved his season and fantasy value with a huge second half, putting up a .919 OPS and .309 ISO. Carroll also hit 17 of his 22 home runs in the second half.
There's a lot to like about Corbin Carroll for the 2025 season. He’s excellent at utilizing his speed, leading the league in triples over the last two seasons. Carroll also stole 89 bases at an impressive 87% success rate.
He also has a solid approach at the plate, placing in the 79th percentile for walk percentage. He's got the talent; if he keeps it together, he'll be a top-five player for the 2025 season.
6. Jarren Duran
(Boston Red Sox)
2024 Stats:
.285/.342/.492 21 HR, 75 RBI, 34 SB, 48 2B, 14 3B
Jarren Duran had a phenomenal 2024 season. Finishing eighth in MVP voting, Duran led the league in plate appearances, at-bats, doubles, and triples. It was a breakout season for Duran. He also seems to have a relatively safe floor, considering his mixture of bat and speed.
Duran will likely be the Red Sox’s leadoff hitter in 2025, so I don't believe his RBI total will increase. But the Sox have improved the lineup, including bringing in Alex Bregman and the return of a healthy Triston Casas. There's a good chance we can see an increase in runs and Duran being more aggressive on the basepaths, increasing his steals.
5. Yordan Alvarez
(Houston Astros)
2024 Stats:
.308/.392/.567 35 HR, 86 RBI
Yordan Alvarez has been one of the best hitters of his generation. Since his MLB debut, Alvarez has posted a slash line of .298/.390/.583 for an OPS of .973 and OPS+ of 166. Over the last three seasons, Alvarez has put up a 176 OPS+. Simply put, the guy’s a tank.
If you thought those stats would signify some elite underlying statistics, you'd be right. Last year, Alvarez was in the 90th percentile or better for bat speed, hard hit percentage, barrel percentage, average exit velocity, and batting run value. Alvarez will continue to be one of the best hitters in baseball for 2025, making him a great choice.
4. Mookie Betts
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
2024 Stats:
.289/.372/.491 19 HR, 75 RBI
In terms of fantasy, Betts has top 5 overall potential. He has an OPS+ of 138 for his career, an impressive slash line of .284/.372/.530, and a 145 OPS + over his last five seasons. This output should continue, primarily due to his elite plate discipline.
Betts ranked in the 98th percentile in K%, the 92nd percentile in BB%, the 94th percentile in whiff %, and the 93rd percentile in chase %. He also ranked in the 99th percentile in squared-up %.
Betts is one of the best baseball players in the league. I expect him to be fully healthy in 2025 and continue accumulating impressive stats. Playing in the heart of a loaded Dodgers lineup, Betts will have plenty of opportunities to drive in runs.
3. Kyle Tucker
(Chicago Cubs)
2024 Stats:
.289/.408/.585 23 HR, 49 RBI
Kyle Tucker dealt with injuries in his 2024 season. Otherwise, he would've likely finished with at least 40 home runs and 20 stolen bases. Tucker is known for his elite bat and has a career OPS of .870. He elevated his game in multiple ways last year, which resulted in career bests for ISO(.296), walk percentage(16.5%), slugging(.585), and OPS(.993).
Tucker also joins an NL Central with more hitter-friendly ballparks. The Cubs’ lineup isn't as good as the Astros, but that shouldn't prevent Tucker from putting up some elite fantasy numbers.
2. Juan Soto
(New York Mets)
2024 Stats:
.288/.419/.569 41 HR, 109 RBI
Juan Soto has been building a hall-of-fame career since his debut at age 19. He's already drawing comparisons to Ted Williams due to his otherworldly ability to get on base. Over the last three seasons, Soto averaged 29 doubles, 34 home runs, 93 runs batted in, and 132 walks.
Soto also has extremely impressive underlying stats. Ranking in the 94th percentile for squared-up % and bat speed, the 98th percentile for average exit velocity, and the 99th percentile for hard-hit % and barrel %.
He's going to continue his legacy on the New York Mets. While it was nice hitting ahead of Aaron Judge(last year was arguably one of the best of his career), a loaded Mets lineup that features Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, Mark Vientos, and plenty of others should still do the trick.
1. Aaron Judge
(New York Yankees)
2024 Stats:
.322/.458/.701 58 HR, 144 RBI
Aaron Judge was by far the second-best player in fantasy baseball for the 2024 season(shoutout to Shohei Ohtani). Judge has been on a Bonds-esque run over the last three seasons, averaging 52 home runs, 117 runs batted in, a 1.107 OPS, and a 206 OPS+.
Judge led the league in WAR(10.8), home runs(58), runs batted in(144), walks(133), on-base percentage(.458), slugging(.701), OPS(1.159), and OPS+(223). He also recorded a ridiculous .379 ISO. I can continue to go on and on about how Aaron Judge is so good, but I think you get the point. The guy rakes, and he’s the best option for the outfield until he takes his foot off the gas.
Breakouts To Target
Lawrence Butler
(Athletics)
Lawrence Butler was a pleasant surprise last year for a depressing Athletics team. After a disappointing first half, Butler broke out in the second half. He posted a slash line of .300/.345/.553 with a .253 ISO.
He also has impressive speed upside; he stole 18 bases without getting caught once. The 23-year-old should continue to progress as a hitter and can become a legitimate 30/30 threat. His ADP of 91.4 is somewhat risky, considering he only has a half year of good play. But the reward is a guy who should finish in the top 50. His Yahoo ADP of 143 is also excellent value.
Dylan Crews & James Wood
(Washington Nationals)
The Nationals have an exciting future, especially with these two at the helm. James Wood already had a good taste for the majors last year. Putting up a 122 OPS+ along with stealing 14 bases in 79 games. There were flaws; his 28.9 strikeout percentage is high, and his stolen base percentage needs to improve(63.6%). But it's hard to nitpick a guy who just entered the league at 21.
Dylan Crews didn't do much in his first taste of MLB action last year, putting up an 82 OPS+. He's got all the raw talent to be an all-star and a great fantasy asset. Crews has a 60-grade hit and power tool and a 70-run tool. He's shined in the minors, putting up a career .806 OPS and stealing 29 bases over 135 games.
These guys have great potential and should become stars in the majors. Crews’ ADP leaves more room for growth (147 vs. Woods’ 67), but Wood should be more primed for a true breakout season in 2025.
Michael Toglia
(Colorado Rockies)
Michael Toglia first got the call to the majors in 2022, where he had a forgettable 31 games. In 2023, he was back up and somehow significantly worse, posting a 31 OPS+.
Last year, Toglia played 116 games. Posting a respectable line of .218/.311/.456 and hitting 25 home runs. While they’re all things I liked, I got my socks knocked off when I saw his savant page.
His expected stats were significantly better than his actual stats. Yeah, sure, his strikeout and whiff rates suck. But everything else is phenomenal. Toglia ranked in the 90th percentile or better for expected slugging, average exit velocity, barrel %, hard hit %, and sweet-spot %. I mean, how will this guy not be a great fantasy asset next year?
Evan Carter
(Texas Rangers)
Evan Carter broke into the majors at 20 years old with an outstanding September performance. He hit five home runs and had an OPS of 1.058. Carter disappointed fantasy owners in 2024, only playing in 45 games due to a nagging back injury.
His stats were mediocre at best, posting an OPS+ of 80. Carter should be fully healthy in 2025, and he still has all the talent that made him an exciting prospect. He possesses an excellent combination of power and speed. In 2023, he achieved a .863 OPS and stole 26 bases in 108 minor-league games.
Roman Anthony
(Boston Red Sox)
Roman Anthony is the number two prospect in baseball. He’s a solid all-around hitter who makes smart decisions at the plate. Anthony recorded 18 home runs and 21 stolen bases, an impressive 14.6 walk percentage, and .207 ISO over 119 minor league games last year.
Despite only being 20, many believe Anthony can break into the majors this year. He already has good speed and excellent power potential(80-grade raw power, 70-grade in-game power). He could be the next big superstar in the majors.
Jason Dominguez
(New York Yankees)
Jason Dominguez first made himself known as a prospect. As a genuine five-tool prospect, he drew comparisons to Mike Trout and Mickey Mantle. It doesn't appear he'll reach that ceiling; he could still be a great all-star caliber player.
Dominguez has shown good plate discipline in the minors, always recording at least a 10% walk rate. While the strikeout numbers could be better, he should be able to be a reliable table setter. Dominguez also has the speed and the aggressiveness to use it, recording 40 stolen bases in his last full season(118 games).
Dominguez could be used as a leadoff hitter in 2025 and would tear up the basepaths to the delight of fantasy owners.
Outfielders to Avoid
Ronald Acuna Jr
(Atlanta Braves)
I previously discussed Ronald Acuna Jr., who earned an honorable mention in my top ten due to his league-winning upside.
However, his current ADP of 26 already leaves little room for error. Acuna will miss at least the first month of the 2025 season and will likely need time to reach 100 percent. That alone makes his ADP a bit of a reach.
On top of that, Acuna struggled in 2024. In 49 games, Acuna only hit four home runs and had a ghastly .365 slugging percentage. To me, there’s too much that has to go right for Acuna to be worth his ADP.
Randy Arozarena
(Seattle Mariners)
I’m avoiding Randy Arozarena for two simple reasons. He had a down year last year, and he now plays in the least hitter-friendly ballpark in the majors.
It's not to say that anybody who plays for the Mariners is an avoid, but Arozarena’s strengths include plate discipline, slightly above-average power, and good speed. Even if he can slug more in 2025, it's unlikely he bring it up enough to be worth anything. I’d rather pick someone else that can provide more value.
Nick Castellanos
(Philadelphia Phillies)
Nick Castellanos was a reliable bat during his prime. He regularly posted an OPS above .800 and occasionally above .850. Since turning 30, Castellanos hasn’t met those expectations, averaging an OPS of .744 with an OPS+ of 105.
He’s a league-average hitter who doesn’t provide much else. He's also turning 33 before the start of the 2025 season, which leaves me to worry that he will regress even more. I prefer players with higher upside, like Dylan Crews or Jasson Dominguez, for his ADP.
FTR My Guys
Brent Rooker
(Athletics)
Brent Rooker had a great 2024 season, posting 39 home runs, 112 runs batted in, and an OPS of .927. He finished fourth in scoring for Yahoo, sixth for Fantrax, and ninth for ESPN for his position. Yet his ADP has him as the 18th outfielder taken this year. I think Rooker continues raking and can provide a Yordan Alvarez-esque stat line at a much better ADP.
Teoscar Hernandez
(Los Angeles Dodgers)
Teoscar Hernandez has been a reliable outfielder for years now. Since 2021, Hernandez has averaged 147 games, 29 home runs, 96 runs batted in, and 31 doubles while posting a 126 OPS+. Hernandez has also finished in the top ten among outfielders in 2021 and 2024 for fantasy.
The Dodgers’ loaded lineup should leave plenty of RBI opportunities for Hernandez. His ADP has him as the 21st outfielder taken. His floor should be around that range, and his ceiling should be another top-ten finish.
Multi-Position Eligible Players
There's so much talent in the outfield that it's easy to overdraft that position. I try to avoid this by targeting players who can play more than just outfield.
Guys like Jazz Chisholm Jr., Mookie Betts, Oneil Cruz, and Cody Bellinger are some players who significantly improve your fantasy roster simply because of their versatility. It lets you focus more easily on drafting the best player available instead of filling a need.
Synopsis
The 2025 fantasy baseball season will feature many amazing outfielders. There are so many great options that it's hard to go wrong picking anyone specifically. Even riskier picks like Acuna, Mike Trout, Luis Robert, and Christian Yelich have such tremendous upside that they're worth considering.
I will say that there seems to be a slight drop-off in talent after pick 110. There are still good players, but I believe most choices have much more glaring problems or simply lack the upside to be worthy of a pick.