2025 Fantasy Football: Complete Free Agency Guide (Risers and Fallers)

By Terry WilliamsMarch 16, 2025
2025 Fantasy Football: Complete Free Agency Guide (Risers and Fallers)

The 2025 NFL free agency period has been a whirlwind of player movement, with numerous big-name signings and blockbuster trades shaking up team rosters. Franchise quarterbacks have swapped jerseys, star wide receivers found new homes, and running backs and tight ends are landing in fresh situations. These offseason changes aren't just headlines – they carry significant implications for fantasy football managers. 

 

 

In this article, we break down the major signings and trades of the 2025 offseason, analyze how these moves impact player fantasy values (including whose stock is rising or falling), examine the ripple effect on team dynamics and offensive schemes, highlight a few sleeper picks poised for breakout, and offer strategy tips to help fantasy managers adjust. 

 

It's your one-stop analysis of the most impactful player movement this offseason with a focus on what it all means for the 2025 fantasy football landscape.

 

Major Signings and Trades of the 2025 Offseason

 

Quarterbacks

 

Several teams will have new signal-callers in 2025. The Seattle Seahawks signed Sam Darnold to be their new starting QB after his career-best season in Minnesota. The New York Jets brought in Justin Fields to take over under center, betting on his dual-threat talent to energize their offense.

 

The Indianapolis Colts added Daniel Jones, setting up a competition with young Anthony Richardson for the starting job. In a reunion move, the Las Vegas Raiders (now coached by Pete Carroll) traded for Geno Smith from Seattle.

 

 

Wide Receivers

 

Big-name receivers were on the move as well. The Pittsburgh Steelers made a splash by trading for DK Metcalf from Seattle, giving them a true No.1 wideout on the outside . The Los Angeles Rams signed former All-Pro Davante Adams to a two-year deal, signaling the end of Cooper Kupp’s time in L.A. 

 

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers kept their receiving corps intact by re-signing Chris Godwin after his injury-shortened 2024 season. Meanwhile, veteran DeAndre Hopkins inked a deal with the Baltimore Ravens, and the Washington Commanders acquired Deebo Samuel via trade to add a versatile playmaker to new coach Kliff Kingsbury’s offense.

 

Running Backs

 

Several notable running backs changed teams or re-upped with their clubs. The Minnesota Vikings retained Aaron Jones on a two-year, $20 million deal, keeping a key piece of their offense in place. The Los Angeles Chargers signed Najee Harris to be their new workhorse back, filling the void left by J.K. Dobbins.

 

The Dallas Cowboys added Javonte Williams to their backfield on a fresh contract, while the Carolina Panthers signed Rico Dowdle after his breakout year in Dallas. Also, the Raiders brought in veteran speedster Raheem Mostert as a depth addition to their running back room.

 

Tight Ends

 

Teams didn't overlook the tight end position either. The Denver Broncos signed Evan Engram to bolster their offense, giving young quarterback Bo Nix a reliable target over the middle.

 

And in New Orleans, Juwan Johnson re-signed with the Saints, keeping a red-zone option in place (though he’ll continue to share duties with fellow TE Foster Moreau).

 

 

In summary, this offseason’s major transactions feature a lot of firepower in new places. Next, we’ll dive into how these moves affect the fantasy value of both the players involved and their new teammates – who’s climbing up the rankings and who might be trending down.

 

Fantasy Impact: Risers and Fallers

 

Not all offseason moves are created equal in the eyes of fantasy managers. Some players will see a boost in value with their new opportunities (risers), while others might face challenges that could dampen their production (fallers). Here’s a look at whose fantasy stock is on the rise and whose might be slipping after free agency:

 

Risers

 

Justin Fields

(QB, NYJ)

 

Fields gets a new lease on life in New York and stands to benefit from a more tailored offensive system. In six late-season starts for Pittsburgh last year, Fields showed improvement as a passer and averaged 18.7 fantasy points per game. Now he joins a Jets offense loaded with weapons – he’ll have a true No.1 wideout in Garrett Wilson and a dynamic pass-catching back in Breece Hall to support him.

 

With the Jets expected to design plays that maximize Fields’ dual-threat abilities, his fantasy outlook improves into the high-end QB2 range with upside for more. Managers can expect more consistent production and occasional big games from Fields in 2025.

 

Najee Harris

(RB, LAC)

 

Harris moves from Pittsburgh to a feature role in Los Angeles, and his high-volume skill set should translate well. While Harris has never been a model of efficiency (he’s averaged no better than 4.1 yards per carry in any season), he has never missed a game in four years and topped 1,000 rushing yards each season. 

 

 

The Chargers signed him to be their primary ball carrier, essentially replacing J.K. Dobbins (who averaged 17 touches and nearly 15 PPR points per game as the lead back last year). Expect Harris to see a similar workload – that volume and durability give him a safe RB2 floor, with potential TD upside in a strong offense. His fantasy stock gets a modest boost due to the secure role on a team that will feed him the rock.

 

Chris Godwin

(WR, TB)

 

By re-signing in Tampa Bay, Godwin stays in a familiar environment where he’s thrived, and he should resume his role as a target magnet. Before a Week 7 ankle injury last season, Godwin led the NFL with 50 receptions and was averaging 19.7 fantasy PPG (the 5th-best among WRs). He’s proven he can excel both in the slot and outside, and he creates significant yardage after the catch (nearly 60% of his 2024 receiving yards came after the catch).

 

With Baker Mayfield’s aggressive passing mentality and a new offensive coordinator who will look to utilize Godwin’s versatility, Godwin projects as a solid WR2 in 2025. Assuming he’s back to full health, his value is on the rise back toward the upper tier of receivers.

 

Brock Bowers

(TE, LV)

 

Already the fantasy TE1 last season, Bowers stands to remain an elite option – if not improve slightly – with Geno Smith now likely throwing to him. Despite the Raiders’ quarterback struggles in 2024, Bowers was dominant. Now, Geno Smith’s arrival provides a steadier hand at QB: Smith isn’t shy about peppering his favorite target with throws.

 

We should see a continuation of that trend in Las Vegas, meaning Bowers will get plenty of looks. He was the top-scoring tight end and nothing in this move suggests a downturn – if anything, having a QB he’s familiar with (Smith and coach Pete Carroll were together in Seattle) could keep Bowers as a focal point. Pencil him in as a surefire early-round pick again in 2025.

 

 

Jakobi Meyers

(WR, LV)

 

Jakobi Meyers quietly finished as a top-25 fantasy WR in 2024 (14.5 PPG), and he could see his consistency improve with Geno Smith now under center. As a precision route-runner, Meyers thrives when the QB can deliver timing throws. Smith’s accuracy (70.4% completion in 2024) and willingness to spread the ball bodes well for Meyers.

 

With defenses focusing on Bowers at tight end, Meyers will operate as a reliable possession receiver. He’s firmly in the flex conversation for 2025, and his value in PPR leagues, in particular, gets a bump given Smith’s ability to support multiple pass-catchers on a weekly basis.

 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

(WR, SEA)

 

The Seahawks’ receiving corps has been shaken up, and Smith-Njigba is poised to be a big beneficiary. Seattle traded away DK Metcalf and released Tyler Lockett this offseason, signaling a transition to a younger group of receivers. That thrusts second-year wideout Jaxon Smith-Njigba (a 2024 first-round pick) into a prominent role as arguably the new No.1 target for Sam Darnold.

 

Smith-Njigba flashed potential as a rookie and now will likely see a heavy increase in targets by default. Given Darnold’s proficiency in the play-action passing game, JSN could rack up catches on intermediate routes and play-action crossers.

 

He’s a breakout candidate whose fantasy stock is trending up sharply; consider him a top-12 WR who could climb into high-upside WR1 territory if he establishes chemistry with Darnold early.


Fallers

 

Daniel Jones

(QB, IND) 

 

Jones’ move to Indianapolis doesn’t inspire much fantasy confidence. He joins a Colts team where he’s not even guaranteed the starting job – 2024 first-rounder Anthony Richardson is still in the mix and, despite his struggles, is the likely favorite to start. Even if Jones wins the job, his track record has been mostly mediocre, with league-average or worse efficiency in most categories over his six-year career. In a run-leaning offense that could be in flux, Jones offers very little upside.

 

 

His presence could also create weekly uncertainty that drags down the value of Colts pass-catchers like Michael Pittman Jr. & Josh Downs, since a potential QB carousel is never good for consistency. Barring a surprise career turnaround, Jones is a fringe QB2/3 and more of a waiver-wire watch than a draft target.

 

DeAndre Hopkins

(WR, BAL)

 

The future Hall-of-Famer lands in Baltimore, but fantasy managers shouldn’t expect vintage Hopkins production. Now 32 years old, Hopkins is coming off a 2024 campaign where he averaged a career-low 5 targets per game while bouncing between Tennessee and Kansas City . He still showed he can contribute (he had nearly 11 fantasy PPG with the Chiefs late in the year), but Baltimore’s offense may not feed him enough.

 

The Ravens have a crowded array of targets with younger receivers Zay Flowers and Rashod Bateman, plus star tight end Mark Andrews all vying for Lamar Jackson’s attention. In what figures to remain a run-first team, Hopkins profiles as a complementary piece. This is likely a better real-life move than a fantasy one – Hopkins’ involvement could be capped, making him more of a WR4/5 depth option for fantasy rather than a reliable starter.

 

DK Metcalf

(WR, PIT)

 

Metcalf’s value will hinge on the Steelers’ quarterback situation. The good news: he remains an elite talent and will be the top receiver in Pittsburgh’s offense. The concern: we don’t yet know who will be throwing him the ball. If the Steelers manage to land a proven veteran QB (they’ve been linked to possibly bringing back Russell Wilson or even an Aaron Rodgers pursuit), Metcalf should see plenty of deep shots and red-zone opportunities in coach Arthur Smith’s offense.

 

In that scenario, he’d slot in as a solid mid-tier WR2 with upside. However, if Pittsburgh trots out an unproven or sub-par quarterback, Metcalf could struggle to consistently produce elite numbers. He has topped 1,000 receiving yards in two of the past three seasons, so the talent will shine through at times.

 

 

But until we know the QB, consider Metcalf’s fantasy stock a bit volatile – not necessarily plummeting, but carrying more risk than before. Monitor the Steelers’ QB news closely; a stable quarterback will make all the difference for Metcalf’s 2025 value.

 

Rico Dowdle

(RB, CAR)

 

Dowdle was one of last season’s surprise performers, emerging as the Cowboys’ lead back and averaging nearly 15 carries and 2.5 catches per game down the stretch. He produced seven games of 70+ rushing yards (including four 100-yard efforts) during Weeks 9-18, providing low-end RB2 fantasy numbers (12.4 PPG) for managers.

 

Despite that success, Dowdle’s free agency landing spot crushes a lot of his momentum: in Carolina he’s expected to be in a timeshare behind Chuba Hubbard, who is coming off a career-best season for the Panthers. 

 

The Panthers view Hubbard as their likely lead back in 2025, especially while talented rookie Jonathon Brooks recovers from injury. That means Dowdle will see a significant cut in volume compared to what he had in Dallas. With a reduced role, he now profiles as a fringe RB3/4 for fantasy – a depth piece rather than a dependable starter. Managers who enjoyed his 2024 breakout should temper expectations in his new situation.

 

Raheem Mostert

(RB, LV)

 

At 33 years old, Mostert joins a new team, but he faces an uphill battle to be fantasy-relevant. He’s walking into a crowded Raiders running back room that includes younger backs like Sincere McCormick and Zamir White, and rumors abound that Las Vegas might draft another RB early as well. Head coach Pete Carroll is expected to implement a run-heavy approach (as he did in Seattle), but that doesn’t guarantee Mostert a big role.

 

 

In fact, his efficiency cratered to 3.3 yards per carry last year in Miami, and his once-signature game-breaking speed appears to be declining. It’s possible Mostert doesn’t even make the final roster if younger legs outperform him in camp. Even if he sticks, he’d likely be in a committee. For now, Mostert is just a name to monitor – there’s little reason to draft him in standard leagues until we see evidence he’ll have a defined role.

 

Juwan Johnson

(TE, NO)

 

Johnson re-signing in New Orleans keeps him in a familiar offense, but the status quo isn’t all that exciting for fantasy. Yes, he had some streaming appeal last year, logging double-digit fantasy points in five games. However, those spike games largely came when the Saints were shorthanded – for instance, when backup QB Spencer Rattler was filling in and several top targets (Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, Rashid Shaheed) were sidelined.

 

In 2025, assuming starting QB Derek Carr is healthy and the Saints’ main playmakers are on the field, Johnson will be just one of many mouths to feed. He also has to share snaps and routes with Foster Moreau (who, despite a late-season knee injury, is expected back).

 

The Saints simply don’t feature the tight end enough to make Johnson a reliable starter in fantasy. He might score the occasional touchdown, but consistency will be an issue. Treat him as a low-end TE2 or waiver wire streamer, and only deploy him in favorable matchups or bye-week emergencies.

 

Team Dynamics and Offensive Scheme Considerations

 

Player transactions don’t happen in a vacuum – the offensive context and team scheme often determine how successful a player will be in fantasy. Let’s examine how some of these big moves could affect team dynamics and schemes, and what that means for fantasy production:

 

 

Seattle Seahawks 

(Darnold at QB, New OC)

 

Seattle’s offense will have a new look with Sam Darnold at quarterback and Klint Kubiak taking over as offensive coordinator. Kubiak’s scheme is rooted in the wide zone run and play-action bootlegs, which actually plays to Darnold’s strengths – we saw him excel on play-action throws in Minnesota. Expect plenty of motion and misdirection to create open throwing lanes for Darnold. However, the Seahawks’ passing game may start slow due to a transitional receiving corps.

 

With DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett gone, Seattle’s wideout group is very young. Darnold might lean on tight ends and running backs in the short game while the young receivers (like Jaxon Smith-Njigba) develop chemistry with him. The scheme will try to simplify reads for Darnold, but fantasy managers should temper expectations early on – this could be a more run-focused, ball-control offense as new pieces gel.

 

New York Jets

(Fields’ Dual-Threat Ability)

 

The Jets are expected to build their offense around Justin Fields’ unique skill set. Unlike the pocket-passing Aaron Rodgers (who was the Jets’ QB last year), Fields brings mobility and a strong run element. Look for the Jets to incorporate read-option plays, designed QB runs (especially in the red zone), and rollouts to get Fields on the move. Having a dynamic receiver like Garrett Wilson and a capable outlet in Breece Hall means Fields can also lean on quick, high-percentage throws.

 

Offensive coordinator Tanner Engstrand will likely emphasize play designs that simplify the field for Fields and allow him to either hit his first read or take off running. The team dynamic should shift to more of a balanced attack – whereas last year’s Jets might have been pass-heavy with Rodgers, this year’s version could be more about unpredictability (a mix of RPOs, scrambles, and play-action).

 

For fantasy, that means Fields could elevate the production of Wilson and Hall with his improvisational ability, but also note that a running QB might vulture some rushing touchdowns that previously went to running backs.

 

Indianapolis Colts

(Crowded QB Room)

 

The Colts adding Daniel Jones creates a murky quarterback situation. If they truly have an open competition between Jones and Anthony Richardson, it could lead to instability in their offensive identity. Richardson is a dual-threat with a huge arm, while Jones is a more conservative passer and occasional runner – two very different styles. It’s likely Indianapolis will stick with a run-first approach anchored by Jonathan Taylor, regardless of who wins the job, to take pressure off the quarterback. 

 

 

The offensive scheme under coach Shane Steichen might have to cater to two quarterbacks through camp, which isn’t ideal for developing timing with receivers. Should Richardson keep the job (as many expect), the Colts will probably continue to integrate designed quarterback runs and deep shots, whereas if Jones somehow starts, they’d trend toward short passes and play-action. 

 

Fantasy-wise, it means the supporting cast (Pittman, Alec Pierce, Josh Downs) could have inconsistent week-to-week value if the QB play is erratic. Keep an eye on who emerges as the starter; a clear decision either way will bring more clarity to the Colts’ scheme.

 

Las Vegas Raiders

(Pete Carroll’s Influence)

 

Longtime Seahawks coach Pete Carroll is now leading the Raiders, and he’s already bringing familiar faces and philosophies to Las Vegas. With Carroll at the helm, expect the Raiders to adopt a Seahawks-style game plan: establish the run and take selective deep shots. Trading for Geno Smith reunites Carroll with a quarterback who knows his system.

 

We should see a lot of what worked in Seattle – a commitment to the ground game (they’ve stockpiled running backs and might still add more) and a focus on efficiency in the passing game. Geno Smith will likely be asked to manage the game, lean on play-action, and target his favorite read when it’s there (in Seattle that was often DK Metcalf; in Vegas it projects to be TE Brock Bowers).

 

Speaking of Bowers, he will remain a centerpiece of the offense. Carroll has never been shy about featuring a talented tight end, and with Bowers coming off a TE1 overall finish, the Raiders will continue to scheme him open as the go-to weapon. The addition of Geno actually stabilizes Bowers’ outlook – their rapport should be immediate.

 

Also, wideout Jakobi Meyers stands to benefit from this West-Coast-meets-ball-control offense, as he can be the reliable chain-mover on play-action crossers and third downs. Overall, the Raiders under Carroll will likely mirror the balanced (if not slightly run-heavy) approach that we saw in Seattle for years, which is good news for the volume of their primary playmakers but might cap the ceiling of secondary pieces.

 

 

Pittsburgh Steelers 

(Arthur Smith’s Offense with New Weapons)

 

Pittsburgh’s offense in 2025 will be guided by head coach (or offensive coordinator) Arthur Smith, known for his run-heavy schemes in Tennessee and Atlanta. However, the acquisition of DK Metcalf suggests the Steelers intend to push the ball downfield more than Smith’s recent teams did. We could see a blend of power running (to honor Smith’s philosophy) and vertical passing.

 

If a seasoned quarterback like Russell Wilson or another veteran signs on, the Steelers could employ heavy play-action to set up deep shots to Metcalf. Metcalf’s presence on the outside should also help George Pickens, who will now see the No. 2 cornerback more often – Pickens could thrive as a big-play threat against single coverage. The team dynamic will likely revolve around a strong run game (Najee Harris was their workhorse, but with him gone to L.A., they might rely on Jaylen Warren or a new back) to set up those pass attempts. 

 

One big change: if the Steelers get a pocket passer, it’s a departure from last year’s more mobile Kenny Pickett-led approach. Keep in mind that if the QB situation doesn’t resolve with a clear answer, Pittsburgh might lean extremely heavily on the run and short passing, essentially limiting Metcalf and Pickens to sporadic highlights.

 

In summary, the Steelers offense has potential to be far more explosive with a true No.1 WR aboard, but it will only reach that potential if the quarterback play is solid. Scheme-wise, expect Arthur Smith to still call plenty of runs and use play-action, but with better weapons outside, the fantasy prospects for the top receivers are intriguing if the passing volume ticks up.

 

Los Angeles Rams

(McVay’s New Duo at WR)

 

Sean McVay gets a new toy in Davante Adams, and it will be fascinating to see how he deploys a receiving duo of Davante Adams and Puka Nacua. McVay’s system has historically been able to support multiple fantasy-relevant receivers (think of the Kupp–Woods combo in the past), and quarterback Matthew Stafford has shown he can distribute effectively when he has talent at receiver. With Adams coming in, the Rams likely shift back to a more pass-oriented attack after a down year.

 

The expectation is that Adams slides into the “X” receiver role, commanding a high volume of targets as a precise route-runner and red zone threat. Nacua, who was a breakout star as a rookie, will complement him, possibly moving around the formation (slot and flanker) to exploit matchups. Cooper Kupp is on the way out which solidifies Nacua’s role alongside Adams rather than making it a three-headed monster.

 

 

From a scheme perspective, McVay will likely use motions and bunch formations to free Adams from double coverage and create space for Nacua underneath. This could actually enhance Nacua’s PPR value while keeping Adams in the WR1/WR2 mix. The team dynamic here shifts to a more aerial attack – with Kyren Williams in the run game – fantasy managers can feel good about both Adams and Nacua as weekly starters in 2025.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

(Maintaining an Aggressive Air Attack)

 

With Chris Godwin re-signed and Mike Evans still in the fold, the Bucs will continue to boast one of the league’s better receiving tandems. The new offensive coordinator, Josh Grizzard, is expected to keep a similar aggressive passing approach in place. Quarterback Baker Mayfield, who remains the starter, isn’t shy about throwing into tight windows and taking chances downfield. This bodes well for both Godwin and Evans.

 

Godwin will run plenty of the short and intermediate routes, finding gaps in zone coverage (where Mayfield’s quick trigger can hit him), and Evans will still be the primary downfield and end zone threat. If anything, Godwin’s presence in the slot will continue to open things up for Evans on the outside and vice versa.

 

We might also see the Bucs try to involve their running backs in the passing game a bit more to replace Godwin’s underneath production if defenses key on him – but ultimately, the team identity should remain pass-first. Fantasy-wise, expect Godwin to return to form as a high-volume WR2 and Evans to be a boom-or-bust WR2/3 depending on touchdowns. Just keep an eye on Godwin’s health in camp; by all accounts, his rehab has him on track to start the season strong.

 

Baltimore Ravens

(Crowded Receiving Corps)

 

The Ravens adding DeAndre Hopkins is a notable real-life upgrade, but it creates an interesting dynamic in their offense. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken turned the Ravens into a more pass-friendly unit in 2024 than in years past, but they still spread the ball around. With Hopkins in the mix alongside Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, and Mark Andrews, Lamar Jackson has no shortage of options – perhaps too many for any one to consistently dominate targets.

 

Baltimore’s scheme will still revolve around Lamar’s dual-threat capabilities and a strong run game, so we might see Hopkins used as a savvy possession receiver on critical downs, while younger, faster guys stretch the field. The team dynamic might resemble the 2019 Saints or 2020 Cardinals in terms of having an aging star receiver who is productive but not the lone focal point. In practical fantasy terms, this means week-to-week variance.

 

One week Flowers might lead the team; another week it might be Andrews or Hopkins. Unless injuries thin out the target competition, none of the wideouts may reach top-15 fantasy WR numbers consistently. Managers should view Hopkins as a WR4, Flowers as an upside WR3, and Bateman as a bench stash.

 

Andrews remains a top-tier tight end who should still be the most reliable target due to his rapport with Jackson. The scheme could certainly create some big games for these guys, but predicting who will go off when will be challenging.

 

 

Washington Commanders

(Kingsbury’s Horizontal Offense)

 

With Kliff Kingsbury calling the shots in Washington and Deebo Samuel arriving via trade, expect a very spread-out, horizontal-based attack. Kingsbury’s Air Raid roots mean he likes to use the whole width of the field and get the ball out quickly to playmakers on short passes. Deebo Samuel is a perfect fit for this approach – he excels on screens, jet sweeps, and short catch-and-run plays.

 

We’ll likely see Washington use Samuel similarly to how the 49ers did at his peak: lining him up all over (wide, slot, even backfield) to manufacture touches. Opposite Samuel, Terry McLaurin will continue to be the downfield and intermediate target, running more traditional routes.

 

The quarterback situation features Rookie of the Year, Jayden Daniels, dovetails nicely with Kingsbury’s scheme. Incorporating run-pass option plays and quick reads, essentially simplifies the decision tree to “throw this quick to Deebo or hand off/keep.” The team dynamic will emphasize yards after catch – get the ball to Samuel and McLaurin quickly and let them make plays.

 

For fantasy, Samuel’s usage in this scheme could put him back on the map as a solid WR3/Flex option (especially in PPR) because even if his explosiveness has waned a bit, volume and scheme touches will be there. 

 

McLaurin might see slightly fewer targets if the offense funnels more short throws to Samuel, but he should still be the top traditional receiver and a weekly WR2. Keep an eye on how the system is in preseason; since Daniels can distribute effectively, multiple Washington receivers could have value. Also, don’t be surprised if Samuel gets a handful of carries each game – that hybrid usage will be part of Washington’s game plan and can pad his fantasy stats (he might add a rushing TD or two over the year).

 

Dallas Cowboys

(Revamped Running Game?)

 

Dallas’ offense might be undergoing a shift in the backfield. With Rico Dowdle gone, Javonte Williams & Miles Sanders coming in, the Cowboys have a decision to make: Do they hand the keys to Williams as the lead runner or use a committee approach? Williams showed flashes in Denver but hasn’t been the same since his 2022 knee injury, and his efficiency remained under 4.0 YPC in 2023 and 2024. The Cowboys also own a high draft pick (12th overall) and could select a top rookie RB (Boise State’s Ashton Jeanty is a possibility).

 

If they do draft another back, expect a timeshare where Williams is the third-down back to the rookie’s lead. If they don’t, Williams could see a nice volume of carries. Dallas’ scheme might see a slight lean toward the pass while the run game sorts itself out. Dak Prescott still has Ceedee Lamb and others to throw to, and if the run game is average, Prescott’s attempts could actually rise. For fantasy, if Williams is the clear lead by Week 1, he profiles as a volume-based RB2 – but with some risk due to his injury history and lack of explosiveness.

 

If a rookie or another back is added to the mix, both could be capped as RB3/flex types. Keep tabs on training camp: reports of Williams looking like his old tackle-breaking self would boost confidence, whereas news of a committee or continued struggles will push him down draft boards. The team dynamic in any case will be to try and recapture the Pollard/Zeke era balance – but whether Williams is up to it alone is the question.

 

 

Denver Broncos

(Young QB and New TE Weapon)

 

Sean Payton’s Broncos made a notable addition by signing Evan Engram at tight end. This is a clear sign that Payton wants to give Bo Nix a safety valve in the passing game. Payton’s scheme has historically utilized athletic tight ends effectively (think Jimmy Graham in New Orleans), so Engram could be schemed open on seam routes and play-action rollouts. Engram is coming off a down year due to injuries, but in 2022 and 2023 he was a top-7 fantasy TE with Jacksonville.

 

Denver will hope he can return to that form. If Engram is healthy, expect him to be a featured target, especially in the red zone and on intermediate routes, helping move the chains. This addition suggests the Broncos will emphasize short-to-intermediate passing to complement their run game, making life easier for Bo Nix.

 

The wide receivers (Courtland Sutton and company) will still get their looks, but Engram could very well be second on the team in targets. For fantasy managers, Engram’s stock gets a nice boost with this signing: he’s got a real shot to return to TE1 (top-12) status if Payton involves him as much as expected. Often a young QB’s best friend is a reliable tight end over the middle, which bodes well for Engram’s usage.

 

Sleepers and Potential Breakouts to Watch

 

The flurry of free agency moves always creates opportunities for some under-the-radar players. Whether it’s a younger player stepping into a bigger role or a veteran who could exceed expectations in a new setting, savvy fantasy drafters will be looking for value picks. Based on the new team situations in 2025, here are a few sleeper or breakout candidates to keep on your radar:

 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

(WR, SEA)

 

Mentioned earlier as a riser, Smith-Njigba also fits the bill as a breakout candidate. With Metcalf and Lockett gone, the 2024 first-round pick could explode as Seattle’s top target. He’ll likely be overlooked compared to bigger-name receivers in drafts, but the volume opportunity is massive.

 

If he can build rapport with Sam Darnold, JSN could post a 1,300+ yard season and far outproduce his draft position. Don’t sleep on him, view him as a low-end WR1 with upside to be a weekly high-end WR1 by midseason.

 

George Pickens

(WR, PIT)

 

The arrival of DK Metcalf might make some fantasy managers shy away from Pickens, but there’s a case to be made that it helps him. Pickens will no longer draw the opponent’s top corner, and if a high-caliber QB comes aboard in Pittsburgh, he could find more room to operate. We know Pickens has big-play ability and elite contested-catch skills.

 

 

He could emerge as a lethal secondary option – think of how Tee Higgins produces alongside Ja’Marr Chase for the Bengals. Pickens is entering Year 4 and could be a value in drafts if people assume Metcalf will completely overshadow him. Target Pickens in the middle rounds as a high-ceiling stash; he might give you WR2 numbers in games where coverage tilts toward Metcalf.

 

Chuba Hubbard

(RB, CAR)

 

Hubbard isn’t a new name, but he’s a bit of a forgotten man who could end up leading Carolina’s backfield. While all the focus is on the Panthers signing Rico Dowdle, recall that Hubbard had a career-best season in 2024 and is expected to be the lead back for Carolina to start 2025. He averaged 4.5 YPC and showed three-down capability when given the chance.

 

Dowdle will certainly be involved, but if Hubbard is the one getting 60%+ of the touches, he’s a steal in fantasy drafts. Carolina’s offense might not be high-powered, but volume is king for running backs. Hubbard could be a solid RB2 who occasionally puts up RB1 numbers, making him a great late-round pickup if others are more intrigued by the “new shiny toy” Dowdle.

 

Bo Nix

(QB, DEN)

 

In deeper leagues or two-QB formats, keep an eye on Denver’s quarterback. Bo Nix has a much-improved supporting cast with the addition of Evan Engram and an established receiving corps. He also has good mobility (he won’t get you Justin Fields numbers on the ground, but plenty of rushing). Under Sean Payton’s tutelage, Nix will be competent.

 

Think of how Payton maximized a game-manager like Teddy Bridgewater in the past – Nix is a suped-up version and could put up efficient stat lines. He’s not someone to draft as your QB1, but as a low-end QB1 with high QB1 upside, Nix will string together useful weeks, especially in favorable matchups. If he clicks in this offense again, a 4,000-yard, 30-TD, 600 rush-yard season isn’t out of the question, which would vastly outperform his fantasy ADP.

 

Zamir White

(RB, LV)

 

This one is a bit speculative, but with the Raiders’ backfield in flux and an aging Raheem Mostert not guaranteed a role, Zamir White could emerge as a key contributor. White is a former fourth-round pick, he’s a powerful runner and could fit Pete Carroll’s preferred run-heavy approach well. If Mostert shows his age or if none of the rumored rookies end up in Vegas, White might lead this backfield in carries.

 

 

He’s the kind of player you stash at the end of your bench in case he becomes the surprise lead RB by October. The upside: a potential early-down grinder who could see goal-line work in a run-focused offense (i.e., touchdown upside). Keep White on your watchlist; he could be this year’s version of Chris Carson in Carroll’s scheme.

 

Jordan Love

(QB, GB)

 

(One non-free-agency name to consider in the sleeper mix) The Packers didn’t make any huge skill-position splashes in free agency, yet he quietly finished 2024 strong and the continuity in Green Bay could benefit him. In fantasy, Love could take the next step into the solid QB1 tier.

 

If you miss out on the more hyped quarterbacks, Love is a late pick who could deliver steady production and even occasional 3-TD games. (Sometimes the best sleepers are those in stable situations that everyone forgets about amid the offseason shuffle.)

 

Each of these players has the potential to outpace expectations given their new circumstances. Landing them at a bargain in drafts could be a league-winning move if things break right.

 

Strategy Tips for Fantasy Managers

 

With so many changes this offseason, fantasy managers need to adapt their strategies heading into the 2025 draft and beyond. Here are some key tips to help navigate the post-free agency landscape:

 

Don’t Overreact to Big Names in New Places

 

It’s easy to get caught up in the hype of a star player signing with a new team, but always consider context. For example, DeAndre Hopkins to Baltimore sounds exciting, but remember that he joins a run-first team with multiple existing targets, which could cap his production (he’s likely a depth option, not a set-and-forget starter). 

 

Similarly, veteran stars changing teams late in their career (like Hopkins or Mostert) might carry more name value than actual fantasy value. Draft the player, not just the name – assess their situation critically.

 

 

Trust Volume and Role Stability

 

Free agency can actually clarify certain players’ roles, which is valuable for fantasy. Najee Harris to the Chargers is a prime example – we know he’ll be the primary back and get a heavy workload, given what J.K. Dobbins handled last year. And the Vikings keeping Aaron Jones means he’ll remain a focal point in Minnesota’s offense, likely as a mid-range RB2 with consistent touches.

 

When in doubt, target players who are locked into significant roles due to these moves. Volume is king in fantasy, so a less flashy player in a secure role (like Harris or Jones) can be more valuable than a flashy name in a committee.

 

Consider Scheme Fit

 

A player’s talent is one thing, but how they fit into their new team’s scheme will drive fantasy production. Take Sam Darnold – he’s coming off a great year, but Seattle’s scheme and personnel are different. The Seahawks’ offense under Kubiak will use play-action and bootlegs to cater to Darnold’s strengths, but with a younger receiving corps, his numbers might regress from 2024.

 

Conversely, Justin Fields is stepping into a Jets scheme likely built around him, which could unlock his dual-threat upside. When evaluating offseason moves, ask: is this player in a better situation schematically or not? Favor players whose teams will play to their strengths (Fields in a custom offense, Adams in McVay’s creative system, etc.) and be cautious with those who might not be utilized optimally.

 

Monitor Offseason Reports for Chemistry and Competition

 

Many of these moves will continue to evolve through training camp. Pay attention to camp reports and preseason games for clues about chemistry (e.g., does Darnold have a favorite target emerging in Seattle? Is Davante Adams quickly building rapport with Matthew Stafford?) and position battles (e.g., Colts’ QB competition, Cowboys’ RB usage, Steelers’ QB situation).

 

If a supposedly “neutral” situation tilts one way – say, Daniel Jones clearly outshines Richardson, or Dallas doesn’t draft another RB giving Javonte Williams a clear path – that can significantly shift fantasy values. The more informed you are about these developments, the better you can adjust your draft strategy. Stay flexible; be ready to move a player up or down your rankings based on summer news.

 

 

Identify Beneficiaries of Departures

 

Sometimes the biggest winners of free agency are the players who didn’t move. Look at teams that lost key players and consider who steps up. For example, with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett gone from Seattle, we highlighted Jaxon Smith-Njigba as a beneficiary – he’s now in line for a major uptick in targets. Since Cooper Kupp was released by the Rams, Puka Nacua (who was already a breakout) might see sustained or even increased target share alongside Adams.

 

Always ask, “Who’s left behind?” when a star exits a team. Those leftover players often see a value bump and can sometimes be acquired at a discount before everyone realizes their new role. Keep an eye on those situations for sneaky draft picks or early-season waiver pickups.

 

Be Cautious with Injured Players in New Situations

 

A few players are coming off injuries while changing teams (or re-signing). Chris Godwin, for instance, is returning from a dislocated ankle – while all signs point to him resuming a big role, it’s wise to have a backup plan if you draft him in case he’s slow to start.

 

Javonte Williams is another – he hasn’t looked the same since his knee injury, and although Dallas might give him opportunities, have tempered expectations early in the season until he proves the burst is back. In general, if an injured player is in a new environment, factor in that there may be an adjustment period.

 

Don’t overpay for the optimistic projection; build some injury contingency into your roster (draft depth at that position or even handcuffs if applicable).

 

Target Upside in the Mid to Late Rounds

 

Free agency creates buzz that often inflates the ADP of big-name movers (everyone will know about Adams, Fields, etc.). The real value for fantasy managers is finding the undervalued gems. Use our sleepers list and your own research to identify players with upside in their new roles that the rest of your league might overlook.

 

 

Swing for the fences on a high-upside guy like Smith-Njigba or a revived Evan Engram in Denver – these are the picks that can win leagues if they hit. Balancing them with safe, volume players (as mentioned in the second tip) is key. By capitalizing on upside late, you mitigate the risk of earlier picks and position your team for a high ceiling.

 

Adjust Keeper and Dynasty Outlooks

 

If you’re in keeper or dynasty leagues, weigh these moves not just for 2025 but beyond. Someone like Zay Flowers might temporarily lose some targets with Hopkins around, but Hopkins is likely a short-term addition – Flowers remains the future in Baltimore.

 

On the flip side, aging players on the move (Hopkins, Mostert, even Adams to an extent at 32) might be players you consider trading if you’re rebuilding, as their window could be closing despite the current excitement. Use free agency as a chance to reevaluate the long-term trajectory of your roster – sometimes a real NFL move can be a sell-high or buy-low signal in dynasty.

 

By keeping these strategy tips in mind, you’ll be better prepared to handle the aftermath of a chaotic free agency period. Fantasy football is all about adaptation – those who adjust quickest to the new landscape often find themselves a step ahead of the competition. Good luck navigating the 2025 season, and may your offseason moves lead you to a championship!